100 Year Weather Event, or the future of life in the Pacific Northwest?

My heart goes out to everyone in the Pacific Northwest who is being adversely affected by the current rains.

In the Pacific Northwest we’re used to heavy rain and all that it entails. But the recent rains have led to a level of flooding and hardship that people are calling a “100 Year Event”. I most recently heard people talking about this at Breitenbush where I spent new years and learned that two of the newly built bridges that span trails there had been washed out. Next up have been the January rains which have led to roads washing out, peoples’ houses being flooded and lots of landslides. Some towns like Vernonia, Oregon, seem to be having repeat flood events and the recent news is of thousands having to leave homes around the state, car accidents and lots of property damage.

My main question is “is this global climate change and its effects?” If so, are those who are calling this a “100 year event” actually missing the possibility that this may be how life here will continue to be from now on – rainy, with more and more rain and displacement.

I’ve long been following demographic trends around population growth and have been making the connection between our increased numbers and our effect on the environment. More pollution, species loss, rapid glacier melt, and running out of resources like oil have all been shown to be happening on an upward trend for years. What is less obvious is how all of this effects our world in places like Oregon, where we’re in a situation like the frog in the slowly heating water – we probably won’t change what we’re doing until the heat is turned way up, otherwise, the frog, in this scenario slowly boils and dies. Now, with the current rain, we have a warning sign that can’t be ignored.

Will we be smart and move towards actions that will slow global climate change or will we continue to adjust to its adverse effects and grin and bear it? Some smart moves that I think Oregonians could take that might increase our chances of experiencing a better future would be to plant trees and stop clear-cutting the ones we have. This would improve our (and the rest of the world’s) air quality, help control storm water and erosion problems and keep hillsides from sliding. I also think it would make sense for there to be some sort of program to move people out of floodplains and onto higher ground.

If there’s a chance that this year’s rains might repeat regularly what other moves should we as a society consider to avoid the high costs of the damage and to keep us all safe and dry? I’m sure there are hundreds. Should we be removing any extra pavement that exists as the group Depave works to do? Should we be planting millions of fruit and nut trees to make ourselves more food self-reliant and cut down on shipping costs of food? Are millions of new community and backyard gardens in our future? I’d love to see a state-wide or bioregion-wide analysis done of how we currently use our land and other resources and plug in possible weather events into the equation. I’m sure that would shed light on how prepared we will be for any future contingencies.

Will we learn from the current weather event? I suggest we treat it not like a “100 year event” but plan for the possibility that it may happen again next week, and next year. Let’s plan for the future not be run over by it.


I posted this article on Daily Kos and there have been 100+ comments in one day. It’s a very interesting discussion of this topic. I highly recommend giving it a read – some very cool analysis, ideas, links and videos on the topic.


3 responses to “100 Year Weather Event, or the future of life in the Pacific Northwest?

  1. Heard about the heavy snow, further north I guess. At least you have water. Other places in the country are running out. I hear places in the southwest have five years left. Global warming is certainly not just warming, but major weather pattern change. Measurements are being conducted on arctic methane releases in the millions of tons, which is speeding up the process bearing down on us.

  2. Yes, I agree we could do much by thinking differently about climate, mother nature and her control. Although we have contributed to global warming, the universe is all about expansion and our place on the planets voyage through space. Change is always something we can count on. How we adapt and anticipate change is ultimately our creative unfoldment. Thanks for albertideation.

  3. Thought more about whether or not enough will be done. That all depends. But given the depth or the economic slump, my hunch is that climate change will not be a major concern. If we had a super-productive economy, then we might find ways to deal with the problem. So just as we’re starting to pick up economically again, who knows–wham! The first waves of disaster confront us. One thing certain–just because it’s inconvenient doesn’t mean it’s impossible. I’m worried about the coming solar storms. I’m not fully informed about whether not our many nuclear reactors have functions in place to keep the power going for the long period of time to cool reactors if the power grids fail. The Carrington Event in 1859, I think it was, would have fried the grid by the amount of radiation released by electrical surges. That sort of solar event, who knows, could happen again. We should be prepared and we don’t have backup equipment for the grid from what I’ve gathered.

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